Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.117330 0.125771 0.134510 0.144239 0.154776 0.165849 0.178378
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.101372 0.113504 0.126695 0.142133 0.159743 0.179248 0.202545
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.092037 0.106054 0.121798 0.140850 0.163358 0.189197 0.221240
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.083657 0.098625 0.115879 0.137327 0.163397 0.194214 0.233626
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.077829 0.093579 0.112145 0.135771 0.165213 0.200922 0.247858
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.073807 0.090326 0.110196 0.136022 0.168944 0.209826 0.264935
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.069188 0.085996 0.106575 0.133828 0.169274 0.214226 0.276206
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.065724 0.082877 0.104227 0.133001 0.171139 0.220476 0.289980
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.064705 0.082779 0.105651 0.137025 0.179411 0.235363 0.315934
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.061834 0.080100 0.103550 0.136215 0.181089 0.241385 0.329911
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.059115 0.077475 0.101365 0.135125 0.182242 0.246620 0.342895
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.055885 0.074014 0.097891 0.132074 0.180466 0.247604 0.349709
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.054677 0.073295 0.098161 0.134303 0.186328 0.259802 0.373772
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.052077 0.070558 0.095548 0.132360 0.186137 0.263305 0.385143
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.049932 0.068352 0.093560 0.131176 0.186925 0.268177 0.398707
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.047278 0.065315 0.090262 0.127926 0.184471 0.268044 0.404427
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.045370 0.063262 0.088277 0.126491 0.184620 0.271769 0.416295
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.044089 0.062058 0.087455 0.126723 0.187262 0.279366 0.434658
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.042229 0.059935 0.085207 0.124698 0.186315 0.281294 0.443828
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.040838 0.058450 0.083835 0.123935 0.187269 0.286205 0.458108
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.040754 0.058896 0.085343 0.127647 0.195411 0.302924 0.493076
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.039484 0.057512 0.084036 0.126900 0.196360 0.307982 0.508317
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.038215 0.056084 0.082609 0.125895 0.196824 0.312222 0.522297